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the debt ceiling, what did he say about that? >> i did. one of the next fights comeing up here, we could expect to hit the ceiling this summer in august. he says we're not going to agree to raise the debt ceiling without doing something about entitlements. mcconnell says this brings the president to the table so republicans want an equal number of cuts or more cuts than whatever amount they agreed to raise the debt ceiling by. mcconnell says it's got to come from entitlements because you can't do enough of what we've seen so far, discretionary spending. tracy: they want us off the beach in the summer. we'll have another debt ceiling fight, be here in august sweating it out again. >> yeah, can't wait. tracy: i know, me too. rich, take the vacation now, thanks. >> yeah. tracy: ha-ha, okay, you may want to sit for the next story. members of congress workedded together and passed a bill that will keep the government open for the next six months. who knows what happens in six months though. now the deadline was not tomorrow, and there were no filibusters. they actually compromised. should hav
? because we wouldn't raise the debt ceiling. and the republicans said we've got to have some cuts, mr. president. we have got to do something about the debt course. we can't continue. we're not going to allow you to keep running with the credit card of the people of america if you don't show that you're changing your habits and you're containing some of your lust to spend. finally an agreement. he hated it worse than anything. finally an agreement. he signed it. "i agree that if if you will raise my debt ceiling right now of $2.1 trillion, i promise in the future that i'll cut spending $2.1 trillion." if you let me do it over ten years, i'll sign it. but i've got to have my debt ceiling now. less than two years later we've already increased the debt ceiling $2.1 trillion. we're right up there again having to raise the debt ceiling again. it will be a matter of weeks that this has got to be confronted again. well, what about the spending cuts? before the ink was dry on that agreement, signed by the president himself, i've got the document right here, in blue ink, barack obama right the
it doesn't. maybe we get a debt ceiling fight down the road. washington still hanging on this economy to a great degree, it means the fed -- also nowhere near the unemployment target. there's nothing in the numbers to suggest the fed would be anything but completely dovish. >> sue? >> josh is going to join the conversation now. i think basically ben set it up for us perfectly. it does seem to be the u.s. fed versus the rest of the world. and once again mr. bernanke is presented with a crisis in another part of the world which may have to influence what he does here in the united states. >> that's exactly right. cyprus is going to play a big role in how he deals with europe. i think the fed wants to be curbs. if it's going to make any kind of move, it wants that move to be successful. that's going to be a guiding principle going forward. we have to remember there's a lot of forward looking events like that debt ceiling issue which is going to crop up in the middle of may. how we handle that will influence the economy going forward. we have to think forward when we read through the fed.
have crazy -- another complication over the debt ceiling. at this point, it is dysfunct n dysfunctional politics getting in the way of an economy gradually getting its act together. >> does the economy in terms of federal finances need what's been characterized as a grand bargain? do you think it's possible? i was listening to a political analyst who said if a grand bargain means somebody has to -- each side has to sign on to raising tacks and cutting entitlement, he knew of no politician who would buy that bargain. >> i don't think it's likely, but i wouldn't put it this way. i would say the division between the parties is too large. that we've -- we as republicans basically have not acknowledged the election. that's the problem. it is not urgent. the congressional budget office debt projections show pretty much stable u.s. indetectivedness for the next ten years. they do not show anything that looks like a crisis. we have long, long run problems but not anything that has to be dealt with this year or five years from now or seven years from now. >> are you worried about t
, sequester, the debt ceiling, all of those issues seem to be moving out later into the year. so as a result the impediments that were slowing the economy down over the last couple of quarters we think will result in better economic growth. the equity market is starting to sense that. i think to some degree that is some of the reasons why the markets ignored washington and ignored sandy so far this year and is up 10% or so. >> that is why you have such a bullish forecast for the s&p. you are calling for it to end the year at 16.60. it is all going to play out pretty strongly. >> we think corporate earnings will chug along may increase about $108 full year for the s&p. we think we will get a little multiple expansion from 14 to 15 times as treasury yields continue to work higher. that will drive out of bounds and into stocks. we think the equity market ends up with a 15% to 20% positive return for the year. >> that is a good way to turn to stocks that are going to perform well. you have len on the big board as your top pick. you reported the blowout earnings this year. the stock has been on a
to be two-pronged. you are going to have a debt ceiling debate when funding for the government runs out. president and white house wants to have a deal with some kind of tax increase and house republicans do not want to include that in any kind of package. they don't want the debt increases limited. secondly, there is talk about a grand bargain to get a new budget in place. >> gregg: how do you handicap that? >> i think this is one of better chances we've seen in a while. >> gregg: why, because the president is paying attention to his poll numbers which is dropping considerably? >> i think he is paying attention to congress. first term he ran against them for reelection campaign. he didn't want much to do with congress. he didn't work with them or invited them up to the white house. this is the first time we have soon signs of reaching across the 16 blocks to capitol hill. i think house republicans have come to the point where they really see that the american public is sick of what i would call crisis fatigue. every three to five months there is some crisis in congress and go down to t
. the debt ceiling. so we only have one out-perform rating right now, which is technology. that's been a long-standing outperform for us. one underperform was consumer discretionary which is the potential for problems because of the tax increases. it turns out it's not having the impact on consumer spending as a lot of people thought. >> great advice. thank you so much. great to you on the prom. liz ann sonders and heidi moore joining me. up next, we're on the money. what is starbucks' recipe for success? my conversation with the company's founder and ceo about how he wants to do for tea what he has done for coffee. >>> and how health care may not be so healthy a business. >>> and later, talking tough on the smartphone market. can a new phone from a glass economy not so far away take a bite out of apple? what innovation means for your personal technology use, as we take a look at how the stock market ended for the week. back in a moment. >>> welcome back. president obama pushing for an increase in the minimum wage to $9 an hour. but business is debating the unintended consequences of such a m
to medicare as well. a lot of differences and we have another deadline coming up. the debt ceiling will have to be revisited this summer, alex. >> looking forward to that. >> reporter: yeah, we all are. >> thank you very much, kristen welker. >>> joining me right now, andy sullivan and ann palmer. ann, i'll begin with you. the president is back from the middle east. the reviews are out there. how are you getting the word in terms of how he was perceived? >> i think one of the key things you can look at is what the israeli press put out in the days following his first steps and throughout the entire visit and it was a resounding applause. he got very good praise from them. obviously from what he was trying to do was take that frosty relationship with benjamin netanyahu and try to piece it back together. he did that. it was exactly what he needed to do. there wasn't a lot of meat on the bones in terms of policy but from what he set out to do, that was kind of a mission accomplished. >> i have to say i get a chuckle. he said shalom. andy, the big picture there. what did the president accomplish
're going to do the recession here first. you can see back in september 2011, when we're dealing with debt ceiling, the probability of recession by this group, 36%, fell to a low of 19% around the winter of 2012. remember when everything was being looking good, it dipped down again. the probability of recession went up again. now it's fallen again for the second straight month. 2011, 17.6%. not quite off the charts because we still have room here but it's the lowest that we've seen since we began asking this question. i don't know if we have the growth forecast chart here, guys, if we can go back to that. here are the actuals. year over year gdp, 2.6, 1.8, lackluster and picking up to a lackluster not great 2.6%. i want to share with you some views of the economy from our 54 respo respondents. firming housing prices are a game changer. there is something much more self-feeding about recovery this year. could be a turning point. the objepposite from john rober. we believe a recession/economic slowdown is a possibility in the latter half of 2014 or early in 2015. some of the excesses that co
as well if there. we've got it coming up, the debt ceiling in may, and 27th of this month, we are running out of money. we've got to extend that as well. so i think those are the opportunities where you actually have cash on the sidelines, get in. >> then there's jim lacamp. you say when the music stops, forget about looking for a chair to sit in, get out of the room altogether. why? >> there are a lot of things we have to worry about, bill and maria. this cyprus thing is going to set some really strange precedents for the rest of the periphery. what's going to happen when they re-open these banks? we don't know. are people going to pull all their money out? i think they will. that's going to spill over to spanish and portuguese banks. if you could take your money across the street and put it in a german bank, why in the heck would you leave it in a spanish bank, a greek bank, a cyprus bank? you wouldn't. >> why would that push our stock market lower there, though? >> we have a stock market, bill, that's responding the to and improving global economy. everybody has thought, oh, europe is
proposed by obama almost like a parliamentary party was not reworded. taking the debt ceiling hostage was not reworded. calling the obama health care plan, which was their own only a few years earlier, socialism was not reworded. that means they have to begin to rethink themselves, and importantly, democrats will not automatically embrace the same tactics in opposition so that was an important change that creates a new dynamic not that's going to solve our problems, but there is going to be no sitting around the campfire in washington making nice with one another. but the possibility now exists for a real effort and a successful effort to deal with our most pressing problems. >> too familiar washington faces, thomas mann and norman borkenstein it's even worse than it looks. this is book tv on c-span2. >>> next, we hear from dina hampton in her book little red she profiles the graduates of the little red schoolhouse and elizabeth warren high school of new york city some ominous with progressive politics. this is about half an hour. [applause] thank you. i'm going to start by saying wha
over the debt ceiling debate, over europe. and then a new high. i do see the s&p going to 1600 this year. probably this summer. >> really? >> then i see growing chances of a major correction that may take a couple years or may take several years. but it's clear to me u.s. demographics only get worse. we're running $2 trillion. fiscal stimulus. in qe a year to create $300 billion in gdp growth. 2% growth. that's a bad equation. >> nathan, why don't you pick it up. part of harry's argument seems to make sense. he is looking for 1600 in the s&p at some point. change your view at all? >> yeah, i know. harry has been calling for the world to come to an end for a long time. i brought my umbrella. >> what are you, mary poppins? >> i'm going to take off. look, the fact of the matter is we are actually having good news. it's hard for some people to say, really, there's fwood news? you pump $4 trillion in. you don't have the fed pulling its money out which it's not going to do any time soon. you've got to take a look at facts on the ground. we've got $900 billion sitting in money market
ceiling to be increased because he was spending so much money. republican said, ok, we will raise the debt ceiling for the country does not default, but only if you agree for a dollar for dollar reduction in spending over the next decade. and so, yet $2.50 trillion of spending restraint -- not real cuts but spending less than obama had hoped. in washington that is called a cut. if you wanted 10 of something and you only got eight of something, you say i got cut two. if you actually walk away with eight. so, that was a $2.50 trillion spending reduction over the next decade. it has not happened yet. we have several problems facing us. the trillion dollars in the obamacare tax increases that hit this decade, that begin to hit now. oddly enough, the president and the democrats in the house and senate decided to put the tax increases, the bulk of them, after the 2012 elections. so, everybody voted and now the tax increases hit. it is not helpful for the economy and i think it is going to be unpleasant for voters. from ron is up next watertown, south dakota. democrats' line. caller: thank you fo
be the beginning of a bigger agreement over the next several months. the debt ceiling will have to wait until sometime this summer and these plans could become part of a larger plan to raise the debt ceiling. krazak from cq roll call. >> starting tonight at 9:00 p.m. eastern, our first lady series continues with a look at the lives of elizabeth monroe and louisa out front -- adams. on c-span [applause] , "the communicator's." , discussingn3 policy and the future of afghanistan. now, remarks from joint chiefs of staff chairman martin dempsey on the future of the persian gulf sharing his thoughts on u.s. engagement in the region held by the center for strategic studies, this is 50 minutes. [applause] you, doctor. if i could return some of the kind words, he has been one of those individuals in my life, whenever i had a particularly ,exing challenge, which is neary whether i was the acting commander or chief staff, i could call them up and he could gather a group together and let me hang around some of our most complex problems. i appreciate -- it is good to see you again, sir. ambassador is, es
needs the debt ceiling to be increased because we spent so much money and republican said okay, we will raise the debt ceiling so the country doesn't default but only if you agree to a dollar for dollar reduction in spending over the next decade. that $2.5 trillion in spending restraints, not real cuts, spending, less than obama had hoped but in washington that is called a cut. if you want 10 of something and you only got eight of something, you walked away with eight but so that was the $2.5 trillion spending reduction over the next decade. it hasn't happened yet. we have several problems. the trillion dollars that obama obama -- obamacare tax increases in this decade have begun to hit now. oddly enough the democrats in the house and senate decided to put the tax increases, both of them after the 2012 election so everybody voted and now the tax increase has hit. this is not helpful for the economy and they think it's going to be unpleasant. >> host: up next from watertown south dakota on the democratic line. good morning, ron. >> caller: good morning and thanks for taking my call.
development, which is this idea of what will congress do when it hits the debt ceiling. you can see the past two surveys, nearly 90% of respondents think congress will raise the debt ceiling every time it's reached. let's move on to what wall street thinks -- will they consider with the sequester? yes. will it consider and change the makeup. 33% say yes. should it increase spending cuts? 21 #% said. bottom line, only 17% a year think congress should reduce the spending cuts. if you add all of this up together, what you find is a large number who believe congress should keep the plan but they want a little flexibility. how urgent is it? 80% of the march survey said congress should urgently enact a sustainable deficit plan. that has come down to 67% with 25% agreeing that it needs a little more time. that group of respondents, 54 of them market participants say that they should be reducing the deficit. here's some of the can comments. the only thing the economy has to fear is washington itself. an interesting comment. the public wants less cutting of the budget. they are seen as positive. the
: there are all kinds of fiscal issues with the budget, with sequester and the debt ceiling, not far off. have you offered a number of ways that you think the federal government could be cutting back. your office is good at looking at budgets and plans. you have note aid number of things that could have been done n. liu of closing the white house to public visitors, but did you have bipartisan crossover. >> i had bipartisan crossover because they're getting ready to run for election. there is a game play in the senate. this administration wants to show the american public that we can't cut $44 billion between now and september 30 without them experiencing massive pain. they have every intention to make it hurt to get the point that we need to spends every penny we are spending. which is absolutely ludicrous. it's a shame they are doing that because a lot of things -- we are going to have air traffic control towers shut down. they are not shut down because they are too expensive. on average, they cost $wo.3 million less per year to operate. they are shut down to come back with unionized employees i
are in the debates at the sequester rehabbed and will be getting an a debt ceiling minutes later run. there's a lot of claims to be made the president said we just can't even cut the growth of spending because if we do that's going to hurt economic growth. you look at the president's statement overtime. if you go back and actually read the presidential debate with john mccain over and over again, obama promised to make a campaign speech does the same thing. i have some new proposals, but i'm going to more than offset them by other cuts and he promised a smaller government that we have great then. now when we got to the week or two after the election we start talking about the stimulus. it will be for one, maybe two years. we had a 21% increase during the first years of the obama administration over and above the solution. that dollar increase in spending adjusted for inflation is argentinian priest standing we had during world war ii, which is pretty phenomenal when you think about how much the country no place to go and fight world war ii there. this is larger for inflation. rather than the stimul
't and jumped out at me. one of the things we heard going back to the debt ceiling negotiations in the summer of 2011, john boehner saying in effect the president played loosesy and -- lucy and yanked football and was not keeping his word on obligations he said he would undertake. i wonder if joe biden going back to offer a at this time for at that time argument? would be interesting to for reporters would follow up. what were the five occasions? what were the specific deals and how did republicans back out at them? bill: what date did it happen and what did republicans supposedly promise you and how did they renege on that. >> right. bill: here is john boehner, 10 days ago, similar topic here. listen to the speaker. >> republicans want to balance the budget. the president doesn't. republicans want to solve our long-term debt problem. the president doesn't. we want to unlock our energy resources to put more americans back to work. the president doesn't. bill: he also said it will take more than dinner dates and phone calls. and that goes back to your point about the charm offensive. like, wha
're trying to figure out their way out of sequestration to the next crisis, which is the debt ceiling limit and a budget. let's face it, the president as a matter of law, budget october of 1974 requires the president to deliver a budget on or before february 1st, where is the budget. not the republicans problem. we are supposed to act off the president's budget that never arrived. >> megyn: i want to ask you, julie, you mentioned something interesting about how this is aimed towards recapturing the house of representatives in the next mid term election, 2014, and no biden did say, please, please work hard to elect 17 new house democrats. now, that's a serious longshot, it's a hail mary, and i'm not saying it can't hop, but this would be-- >> yeah, but so, that seems to be, the pundits came out and told us that's what president obama was aiming for with the charm offensive speaking to the american people, we're reasonable we can get things done. go with the democrats. and again, why would joe biden not just be going with that for now, knowing there are reporters sitting there, who are going
, the budget control act, was that obama wanted to keep spending, and he needed the debt ceiling to be increased because he'd spent so much money. and the republicans said, okay, we'll raise the debt ceiling is so the country doesn't default, but only if you agree to a dollar-for-dollar reduction in spending over the next decade. and so we got $2.5 trillion in spending restraint. not real cuts, spending less than obama had hoped in. in washington that's called a cut. if you wanted ten of something and you only got eight of something, you go i got cut too. actually, you walked away with eight. but, so that was a $2.5 trillion spending reduction over the next decade. it hasn't happened yet. we're still, we have several problems facing us. the trillion dollars in obamacare tax increases that hit this decade, that begin to hit now. oddly enough, the president and the democrats in the house and senate decided to put the tax increases, the bulk of them after the 2012 election. so everybody voted, and now the tax increases hit. it's not helpful for the economy, and i think it's going to
. from there, a lot of the big stuff will go away and the next looming thing will be the debt ceiling. that is something we have not heard much about the last few weeks, but that is on the horizon. pete kasperowicz, thank you for talking with us. guest: sure, any kind. -- any time. >> expect a series of amendment votes. .ollow the senate on c-span two on c-span three, a group of middle east specialist will politics since the fall of hosni mubarak. divided between the muslim brotherhood and the secular opposition parties. the event is hosted by the rand corporation at 10:30 a.m. eastern on c-span three. yesterday, former u.s. ambassador to iraq dissipated in a discussion about the current political situation in .raq and there is factions the discussion included the former iraqi ambassador to the u.s. and a former ambassador to the iraq ambassador. the 90 minute discussion was hosted here in washington. >> ladies and gentlemen, good morning. i am jessica mathews. it is a pleasure to welcome you today to take stock 10 years after the launch of what turned out to be america's second- long
's spain, there's the debt ceiling, there's fiscal cliffs, there's all of thee things. yet if you look back at this past four years the economy has continue to grow. it is what we call the plow horse economy. it is not going to fall over. it is going to keep moving forward, productivity is improving. efficiency is improving and profitability is improving. and that's what's been driving the economy and the stock market. >> one last quick comment, chad. >> it is a big "but." brian is correct that the u.s. government -- u.s. economy's improving. but we still have fundamental issues in the structure of our economy, imbalances. we are not out of the woods yet. we're not in self-sustaining recovery. we need to start to see that to become increasingly more bullish on the financial markets. >> that was really good. you're a good double act. we should have you on more. thank you both. brian and chad. have great days. >>> seven years ago today twitter co-founder jack dorsey sent the first tweet writing just setting up my twitter. since then the media giant has become a staple for millions. it has tra
and the debt ceiling. it seemed like he was a on a roll in the early weeks. >> right, jon, but that may establish the point which is, that if you start out with a lower level of popularity than presidents traditionally started out, their second term, you have further to fall, to rise in the polls if you're numbers go up but you have less to fall if, below to get that below that 50% mark. if you start out with a highly partisan, politicized electorate they will really come down on you like a ton of bricks if you do anything they don't like, which is a point that nate silver made in a recent analysis on the polling drop. i think coming right after this, the president's, what seems to be a very successful trip to the middle east just shows you that the american people are focused on the economy and they're focused on economic uncertainty. they're not focused on foreign policy as much as some of us would like, they really care about whether or not he's going to deliver any economic prosperity in the second term. jon: as we look at that video of the president shaking hands with world leaders
] >> two years ago when doug holtz-eakin and i were leading a discussion on the lifting of the debt ceiling, some other republicans who were there actually walked out of the room. this year we did not have that. more willing to listen. wing of theextreme tea party typically does not attend the harvard new members conferences. [laughter] >> among economists, is very significant debate about your estimate, and if so, what are would we bees that doing that we would be tangling with you on? >> that is a great question. the original estimates came back to us early on from a former student of mine who was working in the administration and who is a brilliant student from omb. he called me and said i have been tasked with setting up a committee to scrutinize all the numbers in your book and to discredit them. i just want to let you know that. i said ok, fine. he came back to me six months later and said i want to tell you we have been through the book with a fine tooth comb. we cannot discredit any of the numbers because they are all on our own numbers. we are going to argue that it was worth it. d
Search Results 0 to 31 of about 32 (some duplicates have been removed)